The Cowboys and Steelers, for example, were clear about not playing their starting quarterbacks in last week’s Hall of Fame Game, and we targeted the under for a comfortable win. It’s been two years since we last enjoyed NFL preseason betting, and this year’s schedule is condensed to three weeks instead of four. Still, that’s plenty of meaningless football for the speculative bettor to make a profit on. Just having fresh football to analyze and enjoy is enough for most fans, but we know this will be another profitable year after recalibrating our models to account for gaps. There was a lot of change across the league, and preseason can be clunky after a busy offseason. Keep this in mind as well when making your NFL picks this preseason.
Everyone knows that coach Jim Harbaugh has been winning and covering, but the wiseguys took the home dog at + 3.5 for value. This The Best Excel Trading Journal Template will probably go back and forth between 3 and 3.5 between now and kickoff. People that love betting the Baltimore trend will lay the 3; sharps will take the extra half point when offered. Washington had better stats than its loss at New England would have suggested.
Maybe the books just valued the Rams that much higher than the rest of the world. Maybe they failed to notice that Sean McVay really doesn’t informative post care about the preseason. Maybe they saw the Rams were listed second and just assumed they were the home team. Don’t underestimate the ineptitude of a disinterested oddsmaker.
Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onWashington Football Team and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. The Chiefs held out Tyreek Hill from the previous preseason game against the Cardinals as a last-minute change when a lingering hamstring seized up again during warm-ups. Even fellow players like Mecole Hardman said they learned that head coach Andy Reid was holding out Hill at kickoff, so the shift was a shock to everyone. Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onKansas City Chiefs and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more.
This one is easy to understand and great for first time bettors looking to get their feet wet. They found one in Joe Thuney, which will greatly improve the Chiefs’ protection of their QB. The first-place divisional winner has a bye to the second round, and the second through fourth divisional winners will have to battle the wild card teams in the Wild Card Playoffs. This year, a fifth inter-conference game will be added against a team from one of the other three divisions. He’s already missed one – the 2021 Hall of Fame Game against the Pittsburgh Steelers, which his team ended up losing.
Information is where the edge comes from in the betting markets. Will the offensive and defensive starters play more than a few series? Is the backup quarterback a former starter or a wet-behind-the-ears rookie making his first appearance at the NFL level? Or are they splitting it between him and the third-string quarterback? These questions are all valuable nuggets of information we need to know. In the regular season, you can reasonably assume the starters are all going to play as many downs as the team needs in order to win the game.
My sense is that this is “anti-Packers” money rather than support for the Jets. Green Bay looked awful last week in a 26-7 home loss to Houston. There’s more sense of urgency with the Jets, while the Packers will just turn the keys over to Aaron Rodgers when the regular season starts. You probably heard a lot about all the Unders last week (10-1 to the Under last Saturday, for example); believe it or not, that didn’t have much impact on our bottom line.